Every official economic indicator on this site, explained in plain English: what it measures, how it is collected, how to read it, and what it leaves out.
10-year Treasury yield — What investors earn to lend money to the U.S. government for ten years — the benchmark long-term interest rate.
Effective federal funds rate — The overnight interest rate banks charge each other for reserves — the Federal Reserve’s main policy lever, not the President’s.
Federal surplus or deficit as a percent of GDP — How much more the federal government spent than it took in over a fiscal year, as a share of the economy. Negative is a deficit; positive is a surplus.
Housing starts — How many new homes broke ground, at an annual rate.
Industrial production index — Real output of factories, mines, and utilities — the physical, goods-producing part of the economy.
Labor force participation rate — The share of the adult population that is either working or looking for work — how many people are in the job market at all.