Industrial production index under Donald Trump

Real output of factories, mines, and utilities — the physical, goods-producing part of the economy.

Over 2017-01-20 to 2021-01-19, measured in Index 2017=100:

Term average
100.15 Index 2017=100
At the start
99.13 Index 2017=100
At the end
98.11 Index 2017=100
Change
-1.02 Index 2017=100
Low
84.56 Index 2017=100 (2020-04-01)
High
104.1 Index 2017=100 (2018-09-01)
Coverage
100% (48 observations)

Reading this series over a presidential term

Sharper peaks and deeper troughs than GDP: manufacturing leads and lags the cycle more violently than services do. Compare by percent change. A cold winter lifts the utilities component without anything else changing.

It excludes services and construction, which are most of the economy and most of the jobs. A falling share of output in these sectors is a long-running structural shift, not a verdict on any term.

These are the observed values over the window above, and nothing more. This site does not say which direction is better, and none of this is a claim that Donald Trump caused the number to move.

What Industrial production index measures · Donald Trump: the whole record · Chart it · Compare with another president · The source at FRED